Sunday, March 27, 2016

Unemployment breaks records in February – Le Figaro

VIDEO – The number of job seekers registered in Class A job center increased by 38,900 in February to 3.85 million subscribers, is the largest increase since September 2013. On one year, the increase was 2.4%.

a cold shower or cold! After the end surprise drop in January (27,100), the number of jobseekers registered in category A to employment center is greatly increased again in February: 38,900 in all France (38,400 on the only metropolis). The strongest growth recorded over a month since September 2013. … “This result is in the movement of increases and decreases observed in nine months, reflecting a modest recovery in economic activity,” commented Myriam El immediately Khomri the Minister of Labour. Unemployment figures indeed plays yoyo since last June: one month down, following the upward … Logically, then, in March, they should resume its downtrend

The explosion registered. February the number of unemployed, however logical, and was even expected by experts. The decline in January had indeed been distorted by the unusually high growth and difficult to interpret, had warned the Ministry of Labour without being able to give a rational explanation and denying any malfunction of its services, registration terminations for lack of discount, ie administrative suspensions. Result, the unemployed who had been de-registered temporarily in January returned swell file employment center in February. The same phenomenon was also occurred in August 2013, following the “SFR bug”: tens of thousands of registered had not received the update request sms sent by the telephone company and some 20,000 of them had then been removed from lists temporary … so, it was not great clairvoyant to anticipate the backlash in February … in addition, the number of registered at the employment center did not decline for two consecutive months … Let since February 2008. 8 years!

This new increase leads us to some 3.85 million the number of registered class a whole France, an increase of 1% on month , 0.6% over three months and 2.4% over one year. It is far from the inversion of the curve promised for the end of 2013 … Since the beginning of the five year term of Francois Hollande, the explosion in the number of unemployed is 723,300 …! Another strong characteristic of the vintage in February 2016 is the smallest increase in enrollment in categories B and C (the job seekers in reduced activity that worked more or less than 78 hours in the month). Added to that of category A, the increase is limited to 2000 people a month (on the only metropolis 3100), bringing to nearly 5.77 million the number of entries in the three categories in all France. An increase of 0.3% over three months and 3.8% over one year. For Myriam El Khomri, the case is heard: it is a simple transfer on a month of registered unemployed persons (in January) in categories B and C to Category A (in February). Which, to follow the explanation of the Minister of Labour, is not synonymous with a frank and sustained recovery in activity.



The number of seniors enrolled in job center graze the 900,000

Logically, all age groups have suffered in February of this increase: of course the seniors, the number of jobseekers in category a rose by another 0.9% in a month graze (a first!) the 900,000 registered on the only metropolis. But also young (2700 or + 0.5% over one month) while their enrollment had dropped 10 times in the last 15 months. “This monthly change does not affect the decline we see for over a year,” however, required to qualify the Minister of Labour. A reason the last 12 months, the number of youth registered in category A declined by 24,100 in France. But since the beginning of the five-year period, it still shows an increase of 23,000.

The number of long-term unemployed (registered for more than one year) he has also, unsurprisingly, again increased : 0.3% over the month, bringing the increase to 8.5% year on year, a rate two times less than that observed during the peak of the crisis in the 2010s Nearly 2.5 million and now people are pointing at employment center for over a year. They now account for 45.5% of registered in the categories A, B and C in France. An increase of 0.1 points in a month and a new record

500,000 additional training: no effect at this time

Myriam El Khomri however, “these figures underline the importance of the efforts made since the beginning of the year to accelerate recovery and job creation. ” And the Minister cited the “over 100 000 applications” to help SMEs registered hiring “in recent weeks” and “the exceptional level of training for job seekers is also beginning to be implemented with the signing the first regional conventions “. This device provides that 500,000 additional training will be awarded this year to the unemployed. But for now, we really see the effects in the statistics: the numbers of category D, which includes all enrolled in training, maternity leave, sickness, etc., is in fact remained stable in February and even records a decrease of 1.5% over three months.

“But those emergency measures must be accompanied by long-term reforms in the organization of work, added the minister. The bill introduced this morning and will give more flexibilities to businesses, especially small and micro businesses, favoring social dialogue as close to the ground. It will also provide more protections for employees as for independents. Thus, the staff of activity open account including a right to training for all assets which will be reinforced for unskilled employees. A universal right to young warranty will also be created for the most vulnerable young people. “Not sure that opponents of the new version of the text (70%, according to a recent survey) are convinced by this argument, as the record of President the fight against unemployment is catastrophic …

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