Saturday, August 23, 2014

But what plays Montebourg? – Marianne

But what plays Montebourg? – Marianne

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Bis repetita … The souvenir photo of the Rose festival in 2014 is likely to resemble that of 2009 terribly For there five years already, Arnaud Montebourg called Benoît Hamon coming carousing at his desk Frangy-in- Bresse, a charming little town in Saône-et-Loire, which sees land in recent years hordes of reporters at the pre-socialist back. At the time, Montebourg ensured the good graces of the spokesman of the party to impose the idea of ​​a primary Rebelote for 2012 so this year. But this time, the issue is not the method of appointment for the presidential … At least not yet.

Economy Minister continues his courtship toward the left wing of the Socialist Party and more broadly socialist slingers. His recent statements World on the need for a radical change in economic policy confirm his intentions. Operation that does not let the marble as confirmed Christian Paul, one of the initiators of the 100 Call: “They are both part of government ministers who ask the right questions. They start making within the executive, what we do for ten months now in the Assembly. It’s good for us. It also shows that the debate on policy choices is very open, contrary to what people say the president and the prime minister attempting to anesthetize these discussions “ he welcomes. Even printing Pouria Amirshahi, MP for French nationals abroad, who enjoys sharing with “members of the government that we do not question the quality of socialist. On the contrary, since it would tend to recognize in ourselves the true socialists “. Even Senator Marie-Noëlle Lienemann which however was disappointed by the “discourse of Bercy” Montebourg ( “One side, you’ll see what you’ll see, but we are still waiting,” ) of hosts a good eye that reconciliation Montebourg-Hamon.

As everyone can find their interest. On one side the rebellious socialist MPs (some of them also will be present on Sunday at the Rose festival) are thus strengthen their criticisms of the political line of Holland. “At the slingers, we all agree on that. All that proceeds from the government and can counterbalance this policy is good to take “, concedes Pouria Amirshahi. For his part Arnaud Montebourg, he could erase one of its biggest flaws. “Arnaud has always been a loner. But this time around, the slingers are truly a gold mine. In addition, Arnaud has always been bad for preparing convention while Benedict, he knows well the device. That’s all benef for him “, a close analysis of the former candidate for the primary.

The case is heard? So there would be a deal between the two men? Things are not so simple. For if Benoît Hamon and Arnaud Montebourg have often evolved side by side since the New Socialist Party in 2002 and found themselves politically, the Minister of Economy did not break the strong links established with the Prime Minister.

A pact of non-aggression still topical

We still remember the image of the two most well-Ayrault government ministers, labor in hand. That was in January. Valls then still “top cop France” and Montebourg which already provided a headache for tech Bercy, decided to join forces, ostensibly to try to salvage the upcoming municipal. “We are the two pillars of the Republican government , then confided Montebourg newspaper Express . We believe in the return of strong state. We do not dodge problems and head of departments of combat “. Except that behind the scenes, the pair, joined by Benoît Hamon, seal a pact of non-aggression to prepare the post Ayrault, with Valls Matignon and the other two stooges to ministries weight. The fifties PS (almost fifties in the case of Hamon) are determined to ramp up. A strategy that will pay off.

What about today? “The tacit agreement between Valls and Montebourg still holds” is understood a member of the minister’s entourage. “It is not by chance that Arnaud has benefited from a favorable arbitration against Valls Taubira on its next law on regulated professions’ he added. According to Le Canard chained at the last cabinet meeting before the holidays, the Keeper of the Seals reportedly complained of being excluded from the preparation of the law on regulated professions that affect yet lawyers, notaries and bailiffs who come under the tutelage of his ministry. Which earned a terse response from Manuel Valls: “This is not the agenda of the Council. The debate is not open. “

Above all, the two men do not have a vision so far. “If they have a different story and they have already clashed in the past, their visions are not incompatible. They both agree on the need for government intervention on industrial reconstruction of France “ notes Nicolas Bays, a member of Nord-Pas-de-Calais, which had benefited from the Montebourg support when elected. Compatibility had perfectly summarized Manuel Valls at the time: “We represent two sides of a line, the country needs: industrial reformism and uncompromising republicanism” . Especially since the actions of the Minister of Economy may well arrange his prime minister. “If Arnaud becomes a kind of voice of discontent and remaining in government, it would show in the end that despite disagreements, everyone can still work together” analysis elected Dr. Bachelor solférinologie. In short, Montebourg embody the permitted dissent and would calm de facto disgruntled by giving them the feeling of having a relay.

difficult to maintain over the long term

This ambiguity has not escaped the slingers strategy. “We’re not going to Frangy to give our support to Arnaud Montebourg. One goes there to see if we can converge on ideas “ already warns Christian Paul who will be present on Sunday. ” We are not in a matter of leadership. It does not prepare the presidential election of 2017 it would be surreal, “, does he want to specify. And yet … “Arnaud could see himself president. He launches into a romantic epic in which he sees now, with madness and sincerity “ tells us one of the deputies slingers. This did not escape the member Amirshahi: “Arnaud tries to be compatible with everyone. He first was a strategy of conquest of the industrial employers. He tries to preempt what Chevenement did in his time. Now it expands. “

But how long this strategy can last? Because to want to position itself as a voice for supporters of another political left, Arnaud Montebourg will have to give pledges and show a real break with the Blair-Valls. That summarizes one of the slingers: “The question of the effectiveness will arise very quickly. He must demonstrate that we do manage to bend the line. The government is a block and you can not win them all arbitrations “. And the first test of fire could happen very quickly. By September the same, with the first budget discussions that will take place in Parliament.

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